5.4.3 |
PSEUDOFACTUAL RELEVANCY |
Philosophers of science have argued that descriptions of
statistical correlations or differences in correlations do not
explain anything. We will see that they are no proof of
discriminational relevance either. Two examples should show
immediately why discriminational relevance cannot be proved by
means of a statistical correlation:
(a) a correlation between gender and physical strength
Let us assume that (on the average) men are stronger, maybe even
much stronger, than women. And let us assume that a certain type
of work is much better done by a strong body (a physically
strong person) than by a weak body. It will be true, then, that
on the average men do or will do the work better than women.
Nonetheless, the factor gender is not relevant at all in
respect of the quality of the work to be performed: the factor
physical strength is, and this determinant only happens to
be correlated with the factor gender. To maintain that it
would be relevant to distinguish people on the basis of sex with
regard to this kind of job is but too familiar a case of fuzzing
the factorial picture again.
(b) a correlation between race and intelligence
Let us assume that (on the average) members of race A are more
intelligent than members of race B. And furthermore, that a
certain kind of work can only be done well by intelligent
people, and that more intelligent people will do the job better.
It is true, then, that on the average members of race A will
do a better job than members of race B. But --'truth is no
excuse for irrelevance'-- this does by no means prove that it
would be relevant to distinguish applicants for the position
vacant who belong to race A from those who belong to race B. The
factor intelligence is (believed to be) relevant as a factor
of distinction and this factor would only happen to be correlated
with the factor race (so far as races A and B are
concerned). (As has been said before: "whatever the cause of
difference in average IQs, it provides no justification for
racial segregation in education or any other field". )
Both examples clearly have two different aspects:
(1) What is the relevant factor of distinction? A factor
correlated herewith is not (discriminationally) relevant for
being correlated with it -- as outlined above.
(2) Is a group average relevant or individual value? A
full-time post is filled with one person only, and therefore it is
solely individual value that counts, whether it be the person's
strength in the first example or
'er intelligence in the second
one. Only individual discrimination on the basis of physical
strength and intelligence respectively would be relevant in
these instances; categorical discrimination founded on
whatever factor would be irrelevant, when the focus is not so much
the quality of work to be done in general, but to be done by one
particular person in one particular position.
It is evident that where group averages are not relevant --as
in the examples above-- they are still indicators of the chance
that the relevant quality may be found in the individual concerned.
When considering a male applicant for the first position
mentioned above, the chance that he will be strong enough to do
the work is bigger than when considering a female applicant
(granted that our statistics are correct). Yet, this modal condition
is not discriminationally relevant in itself --only the
applicant's actual physical strength is. In fact, a particular
male applicant may be weaker than a particular female one. That
is why we shall call taking this chance itself as discriminationally
relevant "a judgment of pseudofactual relevance".
Whereas statistics cannot prove discriminational relevance,
it can prove discriminational irrelevance. A factor does not
derive its relevance from a contingent correlation with another
factor which is relevant, but if a factor is (believed to be)
relevant, there must be a connection between this factor and the
variable of the focus. This is so, because a relevant factor must
make a difference to the occurrence of an event, or to the
probability of that occurrence. However, to move from this true
proposition to the belief that a factor is relevant, if there is
a difference in occurrence, is even invalid in standard
non-relevancy or nonrelatedness logics. Putting it informally: the
fact that there is a difference is no proof that the factor
concerned makes it, but if the factor concerned makes it, it must
be there (if not instantaneously, then shortly after). Therefore relevant
is what makes a difference with respect to a certain focus.
(The reason why this definition is rather meager is simply that
it must hold independently of the kind of determinants chosen.)
Any doxastic relevance can be disproved by showing that there
is no difference, especially no difference in statistical
correlations. This is why 'statistical relevance' is only an
index of the possibility of discriminational relevance with
regard to classes. If a factor is statistically irrelevant, it must
also be discriminationally irrelevant, but if it is statistically
relevant, it need not be discriminationally relevant.
The possibility of discriminational relevancy is no actual
discriminational relevancy in itself. Therefore it is not less
pseudofactual than the chance of relevance, when that is mistakenly
believed to be factually relevant with regard to the focus at issue.
When we say that a certain factor 'makes' a difference in
respect of a certain goal and is therefore relevant, we
distinguish this making from mere being or becoming.
Thus, making in this sense must not be confused with producing
as generally used in consequentialist considerations. A particular
rule might 'produce' more gains or happiness, for instance, than
losses or unhappiness for the population concerned. If so, then
a (rule-)utilitarian would have to recommend that rule. But this
rule might be that no-one of group G is to be allowed in certain
types of public places or to attend certain kinds of official
functions. (Group G may consist of, say, disabled individuals or
homosexual couples.) Especially if people of group G are in the
minority this might 'benefit' the majority of the population,
because they would have more room available, and maybe, because
they are so biased that they do not feel comfortable in the
presence of such people. On this assumption the loss of freedom
(and happiness) of the minority in question would on balance be
outweighed by the 'gains' for the majority, and this means that
such a rule would be justifiable on rule-utilitarian grounds.
But would the introduction of the rule only correspond to a
difference (an increase) in utility, or would it also make
this difference? If the statistics are correct, there would
indeed be a correlation, namely that diminishing the number of
people of group G in places of type T would increase the total
utility. Yet, such a correlation does in no way demonstrate the
discriminational relevance of the distinction between people
belonging and not belonging to group G, even not, or particularly
not, with respect to the factor utility or happiness.
To make it plausible that the factor in question (such as disability
or sexual preference) would be discriminationally relevant,
it must at least be demonstrated too that there is a special
explanatory link between this factor and happiness itself.
No doubt, a majority will have more room available by excluding a
minority, but this has nothing to do with the factor on the
basis of which a smaller group of people or bodies is separated
from a larger group of people or bodies. Any factor
differentiating a smaller and a larger group would 'produce' this result.
(Take, for example, all people heavier than a certain maximum
weight, or all people lighter than a certain minimum weight.)
That is why a utilitarian or other consequentialist who speaks
of "producing" or "bringing about a certain difference" does not
necessarily refer to 'making a difference' in the relevant(ist)
sense. As mentioned in the previous division
(section 5.3.5) this requires an
additional principle or criterion of relevance.
It may be that a rule which excludes, for example, a certain
minority from certain places would increase the total utility in
a social system, because the majority of the people do not like
the members of that minority, and feel happier when they are not
around. In such a case it does seem that there is an explanatory
link between the factor on the basis of which the minority is
distinguished and the factor happiness by way of most people's
attitudes towards the members of that minority. If these
attitudes did indeed make the difference here, the relevance of
the factor on the basis of which the minority is distinguished
would not be pseudofactual. But the question is now whether
these very attitudes themselves do not depend on nonrelevance
(and/or false belief). If they are biased, they certainly do.
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